Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mashujaa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Mashujaa are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Ihefu are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Mashujaa hold a 34.4-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Ligi kuu Bara, while Mashujaa holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mashujaa
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Mashujaa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50