Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Xorazm · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mash'al are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Xorazm are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Xorazm hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Super League, while Xorazm holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Xorazm
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Xorazm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40