Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mash'al are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Qizilqum are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Qizilqum hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 42.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60