Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olmaliq · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mash'al 0-1 Olmaliq
Original prediction
Olmaliq
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.32 | 14.3% | 15.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.3% | 21.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 64.3% | 63.0% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Olmaliq
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Olmaliq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mash'alLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
OlmaliqDWWLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mash'alOlmaliq
15.9Attack47.8
31.9Defence55.1
5.8Form52.2
22.3Power54.2
0.65xG1.97