Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Navbahor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mash'al 0-2 Navbahor, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mash'al 0-2 Navbahor
Original prediction
Navbahor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.15 | 11.1% | 8.1% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.58 | 19.8% | 18.1% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 69.1% | 73.8% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Projected Score
Mash'al 0–2 Navbahor
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Navbahor
Probability
73.8%
Model confidence
73.8%
Navbahor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mash'alLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NavbahorWWWWD
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mash'alNavbahor
14.8Attack53.7
40.7Defence68.5
7.4Form63.0
25.1Power63.2
0.45xG1.95