Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lokomotiv · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Mash'al are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lokomotiv are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lokomotiv hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (25.1 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Super League, while Lokomotiv holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lokomotiv
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
14.2%
Lokomotiv has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40