Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Masar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Masar 1-0 Proxy, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Masar 1-0 Proxy
Original prediction
Masar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 57.8% | 59.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 25.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 5.92 | 15.3% | 15.8% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Masar 1–0 Proxy
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Masar
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Masar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MasarDWWWW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ProxyLLWLL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
MasarProxy
80.0Attack13.3
80.0Defence60.0
86.7Form20.0
82.0Power33.1
1.64xG0.49