Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Masar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Masar 0-0 Pharco, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Masar 4-2 Pharco
Original prediction
Masar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 10:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.8% | 41.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.74 | 33.0% | 31.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.2% | 27.3% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
Masar 0–0 Pharco
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Masar
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Masar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MasarLWLWD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PharcoWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MasarPharco
63.0Attack44.4
70.4Defence77.8
70.4Form70.4
68.1Power65.9
0.99xG0.75