Masarvs
El Dakhleya
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/8/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Masar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Masar 1-0 El Dakhleya, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Masar 3-1 El Dakhleya
Original prediction
Masar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.5% | 58.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.4% | 26.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 5.62 | 16.2% | 14.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Projected Score
Masar 1–0 El Dakhleya
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Masar
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Masar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MasarLWDWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
El DakhleyaWWLLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MasarEl Dakhleya
61.9Attack23.8
76.2Defence66.7
76.2Form42.9
71.5Power47.2
1.40xG0.44