Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Masar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Masar 4-0 Dayrout
Original prediction
Masar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.0% | 48.6% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.2% | 28.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 5.73 | 15.8% | 23.1% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Masar
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Masar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MasarWWLDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DayroutLLWWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MasarDayrout
100.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power15.3
1.46xG0.75