Marumo Gallantsvs
Polokwane City
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/4/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polokwane City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marumo Gallants 2-2 Polokwane City
Original prediction
Polokwane City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.8% | 31.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.67 | 34.1% | 30.1% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.2% | 38.9% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Polokwane City
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Polokwane City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80