Marumo Gallantsvs
Orlando Pirates
COMPLETEDSouth-Africa · Premier Soccer League · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando Pirates · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Marumo Gallants 0-2 Orlando Pirates, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Marumo Gallants 0-2 Orlando Pirates
Original prediction
Orlando Pirates
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.05 | 11.3% | 13.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.7% | 21.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 67.0% | 65.0% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Projected Score
Marumo Gallants 0–2 Orlando Pirates
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Orlando Pirates
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 12 · GA 0 · avg 2.40/0.00