Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Videm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Šmartno are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Videm are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Videm hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 67.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the 3. SNL - East, while Videm holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Videm
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
9.3%
Videm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 16 · GA 12 · avg 3.20/2.40