Martiniquevs
El Salvador
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 10/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Martinique · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Martinique 1-1 El Salvador
Original prediction
Martinique
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 38.3% | 44.5% | 6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.5% | 25.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 34.2% | 30.1% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Martinique
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Martinique has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80