Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marítimo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Marítimo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Petare FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Marítimo hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (56.5 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.3% in the Segunda División, while Marítimo holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Marítimo
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
25.3%
Marítimo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20