GGOALVIO

France · Ligue 3 · 8/18/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Martigues · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Martigues are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (DDDW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Versailles are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Martigues hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Ligue 3, while Martigues holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Martigues

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Martigues has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MartiguesDDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00

BTTS 3/4O2.5 1/4
VersaillesWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
MartiguesVersailles
43.1Attack66.7
71.6Defence0.0
57.8Form0.0
59.0Power23.7
1.49xG0.66
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