Martiguesvs
Versailles
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 3 · 8/18/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Martigues · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Martigues are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (DDDW), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Versailles are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Martigues hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (59.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Ligue 3, while Martigues holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Martigues
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Martigues has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67