Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marsonia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Marsonia are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Belišće are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Marsonia hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.5% in the Second NL, while Marsonia holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Marsonia
Probability
79.5%
Model confidence
79.5%
Marsonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00