Marseille Wvs
Le Havre W
COMPLETEDFrance · Feminine Division 1 · 9/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marseille W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marseille W 1-0 Le Havre W
Original prediction
Marseille W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.5% | 40.5% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 25.2% | 21.2% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 23.3% | 38.2% | 15.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Marseille W
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Marseille W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00