MarseillevsVillarreal

Marseille are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Villarreal are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Villarreal hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Marseille holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.