Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marseille · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Marseille
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Marseille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarseilleLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ToulouseWDLDL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MarseilleToulouse
46.7Attack46.7
46.7Defence40.0
20.0Form33.3
37.1Power43.0
1.64xG1.37