Marseillevs
Strasbourg
COMPLETEDFrance · Ligue 1 · 8/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marseille · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Original prediction
Marseille
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Marseille
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Marseille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarseilleLWWLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
StrasbourgDLLLL
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MarseilleStrasbourg
51.0Attack37.3
59.8Defence51.0
49.0Form38.2
53.9Power44.4
1.66xG0.80