MarseillevsShakhtar Donetsk

Marseille are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Shakhtar Donetsk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Marseille hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Marseille holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.