Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marseille · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 01:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Marseille
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Marseille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarseilleLWLWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Le MansLLLWD
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
MarseilleLe Mans
66.7Attack47.6
52.4Defence28.6
42.9Form28.6
52.5Power37.9
2.68xG1.22