Marseillevs
Celta Vigo
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/10/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marseille · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 06:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Marseille
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Marseille has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarseilleWLWWL
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Celta VigoLDDWD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MarseilleCelta Vigo
64.3Attack52.4
47.6Defence54.8
52.4Form54.8
55.4Power55.5
1.87xG1.51