MarseillevsAEK Athens FC

Marseille are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while AEK Athens FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Marseille hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (55.4 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Marseille holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.