Marsaxlokkvs
Sirens
COMPLETEDMalta · Premier League · 9/27/2023, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marsaxlokk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Marsaxlokk are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Sirens are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Marsaxlokk hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Premier League, while Marsaxlokk holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Marsaxlokk
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
65.3%
Marsaxlokk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.67
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50