GGOALVIO

Malta · Premier League · 8/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marsaxlokk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Marsaxlokk are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hibernians are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Marsaxlokk hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (59.6 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.0% in the Premier League, while Marsaxlokk holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marsaxlokk

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

19.0%

Marsaxlokk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MarsaxlokkLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HiberniansLWDLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MarsaxlokkHibernians
51.3Attack37.2
70.5Defence64.1
55.1Form44.9
59.6Power50.1
1.21xG0.58
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