Marquensevs
Suchitepéquez
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 10/19/2026, 2:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marquense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Marquense 1-0 Suchitepéquez, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Marquense 2-1 Suchitepéquez
Original prediction
Marquense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.9% | 63.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.1% | 22.9% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 6.44 | 14.0% | 13.2% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Projected Score
Marquense 1–0 Suchitepéquez
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Marquense
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
63.9%
Marquense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarquenseDDWWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
SuchitepéquezDDLLD
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MarquenseSuchitepéquez
35.9Attack31.0
64.1Defence35.7
53.8Form23.8
53.6Power33.5
1.58xG0.57