GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/10/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Winchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Marlow are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Winchester City are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Winchester City hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Winchester City holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Winchester City

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Winchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MarlowDWWDL

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Winchester CityLWLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MarlowWinchester City
35.7Attack50.0
8.7Defence46.8
16.7Form45.2
23.7Power48.2
1.15xG2.49
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