Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sholing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Marlow are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sholing are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 59.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Sholing holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sholing
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Sholing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20