GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 2/1/2025, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Marlow are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

78.3%

Model confidence

78.3%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MarlowWLWLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownWWDDD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
MarlowMerthyr Town
35.7Attack67.5
8.7Defence53.2
16.7Form53.2
23.7Power57.2
0.99xG3.44
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