Marlowvs
Hayes & Yeading United
SCHEDULEDEngland · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marlow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Marlow are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Hayes & Yeading United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Marlow hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the FA Trophy, while Marlow holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Marlow
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Marlow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40