GGOALVIO

England · FA Trophy · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marlow · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Marlow are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded, while Hayes & Yeading United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Marlow hold a 37.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the FA Trophy, while Marlow holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marlow

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Marlow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MarlowLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Hayes & Yeading UnitedDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MarlowHayes & Yeading United
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power15.3
1.91xG1.17
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