GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/7/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gloucester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Marlow are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gloucester City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gloucester City hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Gloucester City holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gloucester City

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Gloucester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MarlowLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gloucester CityWLWWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MarlowGloucester City
35.7Attack33.3
8.7Defence33.3
16.7Form0.0
23.7Power26.7
1.26xG2.17
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