GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/12/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorchester Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Marlow are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Dorchester Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorchester Town hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Dorchester Town holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorchester Town

Probability

60.9%

Model confidence

60.9%

Dorchester Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MarlowLLLDL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dorchester TownDWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MarlowDorchester Town
35.7Attack52.4
8.7Defence38.9
16.7Form47.6
23.7Power48.3
1.32xG2.61
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