GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/15/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chertsey Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Marlow are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 65.9-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chertsey Town holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chertsey Town

Probability

75.9%

Model confidence

75.9%

Chertsey Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MarlowDLLLD

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chertsey TownDDLDL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
MarlowChertsey Town
35.7Attack83.3
8.7Defence83.3
16.7Form100.0
23.7Power89.7
0.92xG3.08
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