GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/21/2025, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Basingstoke Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Marlow are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Basingstoke Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Marlow hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Basingstoke Town holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Basingstoke Town

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Basingstoke Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MarlowLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 19 · avg 0.40/3.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Basingstoke TownDLLDL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
MarlowBasingstoke Town
35.7Attack50.0
8.7Defence0.0
16.7Form0.0
23.7Power21.5
1.35xG2.30
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