Markovs
Panthrakikos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marko · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Marko 0-0 Panthrakikos, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Marko 2-1 Panthrakikos
Original prediction
Marko
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.7% | 43.0% | -15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.5% | 31.1% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 5.72 | 15.8% | 25.9% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.6 pts
Projected Score
Marko 0–0 Panthrakikos
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Marko
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Marko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarkoWLWWD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PanthrakikosWWLLW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MarkoPanthrakikos
37.5Attack50.0
76.4Defence100.0
55.6Form100.0
58.0Power86.5
0.88xG0.65