Markovs
Ellas Syros
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marko · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marko 0-0 Ellas Syros
Original prediction
Marko
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.8% | 49.4% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.8% | 27.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 5.90 | 15.4% | 23.2% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.52 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
Marko
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Marko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MarkoWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ellas SyrosLDDWW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MarkoEllas Syros
66.7Attack50.0
72.2Defence77.8
100.0Form50.0
84.0Power58.8
1.28xG0.81