GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Second League · 7/15/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Pleven · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Maritsa Plovdiv are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Spartak Pleven are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Pleven hold a 35.4-point power-rating edge (37.4 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Second League, while Spartak Pleven holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Pleven

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Spartak Pleven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Maritsa PlovdivDLWLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Spartak PlevenLLLL

GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.25/3.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
Maritsa PlovdivSpartak Pleven
30.4Attack66.7
45.1Defence66.7
29.4Form77.8
37.4Power72.8
0.73xG1.73
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