Marino de Luancovs
Sestao River
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sestao River · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marino de Luanco 0-1 Sestao River
Original prediction
Sestao River
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.51 | 25.6% | 25.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.4% | 27.4% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.0% | 47.2% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Sestao River
Probability
47.2%
Model confidence
47.2%
Sestao River has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60