Marino de Luancovs
Real Oviedo II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/25/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Marino de Luanco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marino de Luanco 0-0 Real Oviedo II
Original prediction
Marino de Luanco
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 34.4% | 36.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.2% | 29.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.4% | 34.7% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Marino de Luanco
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Marino de Luanco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20