Marino de Luancovs
Ourense CF
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Marino de Luanco 0-0 Ourense CF, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Marino de Luanco 0-2 Ourense CF
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.1% | 36.5% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 31.8% | 32.4% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.1% | 31.1% | -4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Marino de Luanco 0–0 Ourense CF
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.4%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Marino de LuancoWWLLW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ourense CFWLLWD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Marino de LuancoOurense CF
30.4Attack50.0
74.5Defence50.0
44.1Form50.0
51.3Power50.0
0.91xG0.65