Marino de Luancovs
Basconia
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basconia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Marino de Luanco 1-2 Basconia
Original prediction
Basconia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.6% | 32.6% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.1% | 28.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.2% | 39.0% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Basconia
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Basconia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20