Maringávs
Santa Cruz
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 9/12/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maringá · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Maringá 0-0 Santa Cruz, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Maringá 0-1 Santa Cruz
Original prediction
Maringá
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.3% | 37.7% | -13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 30.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.6% | 31.4% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Projected Score
Maringá 0–0 Santa Cruz
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Maringá
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Maringá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MaringáWWWDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa CruzWDWLD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MaringáSanta Cruz
55.0Attack35.0
50.0Defence75.0
55.0Form53.3
54.2Power56.7
0.88xG0.96