MaringávsGuarani Campinas

Maringá are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Guarani Campinas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Guarani Campinas hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Serie C, while Guarani Campinas holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.