Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maringá · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Maringá are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Goias are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maringá hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Maringá holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Maringá
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
14.1%
Maringá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00