Maringávs
Ferroviária
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 10/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maringá · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Maringá 0-0 Ferroviária, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Maringá 1-1 Ferroviária
Original prediction
Maringá
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 02:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.8% | 38.9% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.3% | 29.0% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 23.8% | 32.0% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Projected Score
Maringá 0–0 Ferroviária
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Maringá
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Maringá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MaringáWDDWL
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
FerroviáriaDLDWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MaringáFerroviária
50.7Attack40.0
57.3Defence70.7
54.7Form52.0
55.1Power56.0
0.96xG0.94