Maringávs
Ferroviária
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 4/4/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Maringá are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ferroviária are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviária hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the Serie C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60