Maringávs
Botafogo PB
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie C · 9/19/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maringá · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Maringá 2-0 Botafogo PB
Original prediction
Maringá
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.0% | 38.7% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.3% | 26.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.7% | 34.9% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Maringá
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Maringá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MaringáLWWWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Botafogo PBLLWWD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MaringáBotafogo PB
52.4Attack44.4
50.8Defence66.7
52.4Form52.4
52.8Power55.9
1.12xG1.21