MaringávsAO Itabaiana

Maringá are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while AO Itabaiana are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maringá hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the Serie C, while Maringá holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.